UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
Dallas, USA
30 Jul 2022
Welterweight
VS
66%
Morales
34%
Fugitt
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:09
Michael
Michael Morales
19 – 0
6'0"79" reachOrthodox26 yrs7-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 77
Adam
Adam Fugitt
10 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'1"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Morales

Morales holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Fugitt has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Morales has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Fugitt has a chin rating of 22 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Morales
Fugitt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
79"+
Reach
77"
26+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Morales
Fugitt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
76.5
39.1
70.0
Performance Avg
38.8
50
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
41
Morales
Fugitt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.6
2.6
57%
Strike Accuracy
47%
9.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
7
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance6
5Clinch1
6Ground0
Morales
Fugitt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Morales
Fugitt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
22
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Morales
Fugitt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
41
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Morales
Fugitt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Morales
Fugitt
Striking9.1 / 5.7Volume4.3 / 4.7Grappling0.7 / 1.2Wrestling0.5 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Morales
Strike Zones
Fugitt
Morales
Attacking
25HEAD0BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Fugitt
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD0BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Morales targets the head (100% of attacks) — Fugitt absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Fugitt targets the head (100% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Morales
RND
Fugitt
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Morales · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.2W5.7W5.1W5.5W5.6W5.2W6.1W2022-012023-072024-082025-11
WinLossTrend

Fugitt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.1L5.0W4.5L4.9W3.9L3.9L2022-072023-022023-062024-062025-072026-01
WinLossTrend

Morales · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Sean BradyRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Neil MagnyRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07

Fugitt · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Ty MillerRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Islam DulatovRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Josh QuinlanRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · Sub · R2
Mike MalottRating 4.5
Submission
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Yusaku KinoshitaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02

News & Media

Michael Morales · Adam Fugitt
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