METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
55%
Pereira
45%
Hill
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:14
★ Official Result
Alex PereirawinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:14
def. Jamahal Hill · UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pereira
→
Actual result
Pereira wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pereira at 55% vs Hill at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pereira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Pereira's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hill has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PereiraHill
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pereira
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
79"
Reach
79"
39
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pereira
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
73.3
60.4
73.8
Performance Avg
54.2
72
Quality of Victory
50
78
Momentum Score
92
Pereira
Hill
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.5
/ 10
7.9
/ 10
7.9
Style: Pressure
6.5
3.1
Style: Volume
3.9
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
6
Body
3
6
Leg
8
RangeRange
13Distance12
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Pereira
Hill
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pereira
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
32
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/16 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Pereira
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
92
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
Pereira
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
67%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pereira
Hill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
PereiraHill
Strike Zones
Pereira
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedHill
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pereira
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pereira · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneKO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Magomed AnkalaevKO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · KO · R4
Khalil Rountree Jr.KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaKO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Hill · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Khalil Rountree Jr.Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R3
Jiri ProchazkaKO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Dec · R5
Glover TeixeiraDecision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · KO · R4
Thiago SantosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08