★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
56%
Pereira
44%
Hill
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:14
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pereira
This is a genuine toss-up — Pereira at 56% vs Hill at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pereira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Pereira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hill has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pereira
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
79"
Reach
79"
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pereira
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
76.5
60.4
76.4
Performance Avg
54.2
72
Quality of Victory
50
78
Momentum Score
92
Pereira
Hill
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.7
68%
Strike Accuracy
51%
9.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
8 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
1
6
Body
3
6
Leg
8
RangeRange
13Distance12
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Pereira
Hill
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pereira
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
32
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/16 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Pereira
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
92
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
Pereira
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
67%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pereira
Hill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
PereiraHill
Strike Zones
Pereira
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedHill
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pereira
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pereira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Hill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Pereira · Last 5
Upcoming
Ciryl GaneUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Magomed AnkalaevRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · KO · R4
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Hill · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Dec · R5
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · KO · R4
Thiago SantosRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08