METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jan 2015
Welterweight
VS
90%
Akhmedov
10%
Nilsson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Omari AkhmedovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mats Nilsson · UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Akhmedov
→
Actual result
Akhmedov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Akhmedov is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Akhmedov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.
Risk flags
Akhmedov's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AkhmedovNilsson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Akhmedov
Nilsson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
38+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Akhmedov
Nilsson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
2.1
47.0
Performance Avg
0.0
36
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Akhmedov
Nilsson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.3
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.6
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
4
0
Body
2
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
7Distance7
5Clinch2
0Ground0
Akhmedov
Nilsson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Akhmedov
Nilsson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/15 fights
Akhmedov
Nilsson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Akhmedov
Nilsson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Akhmedov
Nilsson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
AkhmedovNilsson
Strike Zones
Akhmedov
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedNilsson
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Akhmedov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Nilsson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Nilsson targets the head (44% of attacks) — Akhmedov absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Akhmedov
RND
Nilsson
0/0R00/0
Akhmedov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Nilsson · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Omari AkhmedovDecision
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
L · KO · R1
Luke BarnattKO/TKO
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