METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
Prague, Czech Republic
23 Feb 2019
Lightweight
VS
37%
Ismagulov
63%
Alvarez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Damir IsmagulovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joel Alvarez · UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alvarez
→
Actual result
Ismagulov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Alvarez holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Ismagulov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Alvarez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Risk flags
Alvarez has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
IsmagulovAlvarez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ismagulov
Alvarez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+77"
35
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ismagulov
Alvarez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.4
59.3
43.6
Performance Avg
57.2
25
Quality of Victory
51
65
Momentum Score
59
Ismagulov
Alvarez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
6.3
/ 10
2.1
Style: Pressure
8.1
9.4
Style: Volume
2.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
6
5
Body
3
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance10
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Ismagulov
Alvarez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ismagulov
Alvarez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/27 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Ismagulov
Alvarez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Ismagulov
Alvarez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
88%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ismagulov
Alvarez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
2.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
9.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
IsmagulovAlvarez
Strike Zones
Ismagulov
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedAlvarez
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ismagulov targets the head (57% of attacks) — Alvarez absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Alvarez targets the head (55% of attacks) — Ismagulov absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ismagulov
RND
Alvarez
0/0R00/0
Ismagulov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Arman TsarukyanDecision
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W · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
Rafael AlvesDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Thiago MoisesDecision
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Alvarez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Chidi NjokuaniDecision
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L · Sub · R2
Yaroslav AmosovSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Vicente LuqueDecision
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W · KO · R1
Drakkar KloseKO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
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