METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne
Halifax, Canada
19 Feb 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
71%
Esparza
29%
Markos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Randa MarkoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Carla Esparza · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Esparza
→
Actual result
Markos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Esparza is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Esparza's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Markos has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EsparzaMarkos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Esparza
Markos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'4"
63"
Reach
63"
38+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Esparza
Markos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
16.7
45.9
Performance Avg
34.0
35
Quality of Victory
29
60
Momentum Score
15
Esparza
Markos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
2.2
7.7
Style: Volume
7.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
11
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance12
2Clinch0
1Ground0
Esparza
Markos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Esparza
Markos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
60
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/28 fights
Chin rating based on
18/23 fights
Esparza
Markos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
15
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Esparza
Markos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
14%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Esparza
Markos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.2
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
EsparzaMarkos
Strike Zones
Esparza
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedMarkos
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Esparza targets the head (78% of attacks) — Markos absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Markos targets the head (92% of attacks) — Esparza absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Esparza
RND
Markos
0/0R00/0
Esparza · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · KO · R2
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Markos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Livinha SouzaDecision
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L · R1
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L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie DernSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
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