UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne
Halifax, Canada
19 Feb 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
71%
Esparza
29%
Markos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Esparza
Esparza is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Markos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Esparza's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Markos has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Esparza
Markos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'4"
63"
Reach
63"
38+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Esparza
Markos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
16.7
45.9
Performance Avg
34.0
35
Quality of Victory
29
60
Momentum Score
15
Esparza
Markos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.1
40%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
11
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance12
2Clinch0
1Ground0
Esparza
Markos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Esparza
Markos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
60
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/28 fights
Chin rating based on
18/23 fights
Esparza
Markos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
15
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Esparza
Markos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
14%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Esparza
Markos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.2
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
EsparzaMarkos
Strike Zones
Esparza
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedMarkos
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Esparza targets the head (78% of attacks) — Markos absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Markos targets the head (92% of attacks) — Esparza absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Esparza
RND
Markos
0/0R00/0
Esparza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Markos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Esparza · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 6.2Decision
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L · Sub · R2
Zhang WeiliRating 4Submission
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W · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasRating 5.9Decision
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W · KO · R2
Yan XiaonanRating 6.2KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2Decision
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Markos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Livinha SouzaRating 4.5Decision
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L · R1
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L · Dec · R3
Kanako MurataRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos · 2020-11
L · Sub · R1
Mackenzie DernRating 2.7Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 5.6Decision
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