UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
17 Oct 2020
Featherweight
VS
29%
Almeida
71%
Martinez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Martinez
Martinez is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Almeida has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Almeida throws more volume but Martinez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Almeida's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Almeida
Martinez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
34
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Almeida
Martinez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.4
46.0
50.6
Performance Avg
48.3
51
Quality of Victory
36
59
Momentum Score
63
Almeida
Martinez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.6
45%
Strike Accuracy
51%
9.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
21
9
Body
5
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
27Distance25
4Clinch3
0Ground0
Almeida
Martinez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.5
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Almeida
Martinez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/27 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Almeida
Martinez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
63
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Almeida
Martinez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
40%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Almeida
Martinez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
AlmeidaMartinez
Strike Zones
Almeida
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedMartinez
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almeida targets the head (65% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Martinez targets the head (75% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Almeida
RND
Martinez
0/0R00/0
Almeida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Martinez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Almeida · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Sean O'MalleyRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Rob FontRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · KO · R2
Albert MoralesRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Martinez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeRating 7.2Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Jose AldoRating 6Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · KO · R2
Adrian YanezRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · KO · R2
Cub SwansonRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10