UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade
Las Vegas, USA
23 Apr 2022
Welterweight
VS
41%
Parsons
59%
Elder
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Preston
Preston Parsons
"Pressure"
11 – 6
5'11"71" reachOrthodox30 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
Evan
Evan Elder
"The Phenom"
10 – 2
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak29 yrsSwitch72" reach5'10"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Elder

This is a genuine toss-up — Parsons at 41% vs Elder at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Parsons has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Parsons's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Parsons
Elder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
+72"
30
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Parsons
Elder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.2
47.1
28.3
Performance Avg
43.9
25
Quality of Victory
33
50
Momentum Score
48
Parsons
Elder
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
53%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
4
5
Body
3
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance8
5Clinch0
26Ground0
Parsons
Elder
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Parsons
Elder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/17 fights
Chin rating based on
5/12 fights
Parsons
Elder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
48
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Parsons
Elder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Parsons
Elder
Striking0.7 / 1.2Volume8.7 / 6.5Grappling2.4 / 4.3Wrestling1.7 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure1.0 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
Parsons
Strike Zones
Elder
Parsons
Attacking
35HEAD5BODY3LEGS43 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Elder
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
35HEAD5BODY3LEGS43 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Parsons targets the head (81% of attacks) — Elder absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Elder targets the head (50% of attacks) — Parsons absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Parsons
RND
Elder
0/0R00/0

Parsons · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.4L5.1W5.7L5.0W6.2L3.8L2021-072022-042023-032024-012024-072025-01
WinLossTrend

Elder · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.5L7.0L4.5W6.0W5.1W2022-042023-022023-072024-072025-04
WinLossTrend

Parsons · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jacobe SmithRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Oban ElliottRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Matthew SemelsbergerRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · Dec · R3
Trevin GilesRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Evan ElderRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04

Elder · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Gauge YoungRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Sub · R2
Darrius FlowersRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Genaro ValdezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · R3
Nazim SadykhovRating 7
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02
L · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04

News & Media

Preston Parsons · Evan Elder
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