METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
Auckland, New Zealand
10 Jun 2017
Featherweight
VS
88%
Volkanovski
12%
Hirota
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CFR 64
★ Official Result
Alexander VolkanovskiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Mizuto Hirota · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Volkanovski
→
Actual result
Volkanovski wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Volkanovski is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Volkanovski has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Risk flags
Volkanovski's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VolkanovskiHirota
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Volkanovski
Hirota
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
71"+
Reach
67"
37+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Volkanovski
Hirota
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.0
8.6
59.8
Performance Avg
21.7
44
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
15
Volkanovski
Hirota
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
0.5
7.0
Style: Volume
8.3
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
15
4
Body
0
8
Leg
1
RangeRange
18Distance15
8Clinch1
0Ground0
Volkanovski
Hirota
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkanovski
Hirota
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
90
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/28 fights
Volkanovski
Hirota
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
15
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Volkanovski
Hirota
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Volkanovski
Hirota
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.5
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
VolkanovskiHirota
Strike Zones
Volkanovski
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedHirota
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Volkanovski targets the head (54% of attacks) — Hirota absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Hirota targets the head (94% of attacks) — Volkanovski absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Volkanovski
RND
Hirota
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Volkanovski · Last 5
Upcoming
Movsar EvloevUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesDecision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevKO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Hirota · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Christos GiagosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonDecision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Cole MillerDecision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
Upcoming
Teruto IshiharaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09