UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
Auckland, New Zealand
10 Jun 2017
Featherweight
VS
88%
Volkanovski
12%
Hirota
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Alexander
Alexander Volkanovski
"The Great"
28 – 4
5'6"71" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 64
MH
Mizuto Hirota
"Pugnus"
18 – 10
Well-Rounded3-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 9

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Volkanovski

Volkanovski is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Volkanovski has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Volkanovski has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Volkanovski's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Volkanovski
Hirota
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
71"+
Reach
67"
37+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Volkanovski
Hirota
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.0
8.6
59.8
Performance Avg
21.7
44
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
15
Volkanovski
Hirota
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.3
61%
Strike Accuracy
40%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
15
4
Body
0
8
Leg
1
RangeRange
18Distance15
8Clinch1
0Ground0
Volkanovski
Hirota
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Volkanovski
Hirota
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
90
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/28 fights
Volkanovski
Hirota
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
15
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Volkanovski
Hirota
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Volkanovski
Hirota
Striking5.0 / 0.3Volume7.0 / 8.3Grappling1.6 / 2.4Wrestling1.1 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 0.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.5
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
Volkanovski
Strike Zones
Hirota
Volkanovski
Attacking
14HEAD4BODY8LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD0BODY1LEGS16 absorbed
Hirota
Attacking
15HEAD0BODY1LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD4BODY8LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Volkanovski targets the head (54% of attacks) — Hirota absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Hirota targets the head (94% of attacks) — Volkanovski absorbs 94% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Volkanovski
RND
Hirota
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Volkanovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.2W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.6W5.6W5.9W5.9W5.6W7.5L6.8W3.5L4.5L5.8W5.8W2016-112018-122022-042024-022026-01
WinLossTrend

Hirota · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.9L5.5L4.5W7.0L5.5L5.7L2013-032013-062016-122017-062018-022018-12
WinLossTrend

Volkanovski · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ilia TopuriaRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · KO · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07

Hirota · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Christos GiagosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Cole MillerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
Upcoming
Teruto Ishihara
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09

News & Media

Alexander Volkanovski · Mizuto Hirota
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