METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Sydney, Australia
9 Sept 2023
Heavyweight
VS
42%
Tuivasa
58%
Volkov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:37
★ Official Result
Alexander VolkovwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:37
def. Tai Tuivasa · UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Volkov
→
Actual result
Volkov wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tuivasa at 42% vs Volkov at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tuivasa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Tuivasa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Volkov has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TuivasaVolkov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tuivasa
Volkov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'7"
75"
Reach
+80"
33+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tuivasa
Volkov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.2
60.2
50.4
Performance Avg
54.7
54
Quality of Victory
42
20
Momentum Score
88
Tuivasa
Volkov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.6
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
5.7
1.9
Style: Volume
5.5
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
36
2
Body
5
7
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance22
2Clinch2
0Ground18
Tuivasa
Volkov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tuivasa
Volkov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
15 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
20/51 fights
Tuivasa
Volkov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
88
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Tuivasa
Volkov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
50%
7
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tuivasa
Volkov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
TuivasaVolkov
Strike Zones
Tuivasa
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedVolkov
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tuivasa targets the legs (54% of attacks) — Volkov absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Volkov targets the head (86% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tuivasa
RND
Volkov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Tuivasa · Last 5
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