METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
Baltimore, USA
26 Apr 2014
Lightweight
VS
64%
Castillo
36%
Brenneman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:21
★ Official Result
Danny CastillowinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:21
def. Charlie Brenneman · UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Castillo
→
Actual result
Castillo wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Castillo holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Brenneman has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Castillo's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brenneman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CastilloBrenneman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Castillo
Brenneman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
47
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Castillo
Brenneman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
9.7
40.6
Performance Avg
29.5
34
Quality of Victory
25
89
Momentum Score
45
Castillo
Brenneman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
1.1
6.7
Style: Volume
8.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Castillo
Brenneman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Castillo
Brenneman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/27 fights
Chin rating based on
11/27 fights
Castillo
Brenneman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
45
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Castillo
Brenneman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Castillo
Brenneman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
CastilloBrenneman
Strike Zones
Castillo
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedBrenneman
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Castillo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brenneman absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Brenneman targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Castillo absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Castillo
RND
Brenneman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Castillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzDecision
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Jim MillerDecision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Paul FelderKO/TKO
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonDecision
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08
W · KO · R2
Charlie BrennemanKO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
Brenneman · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Leandro SilvaSubmission
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux · 2014-11
L · KO · R2
Danny CastilloKO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
L · Sub · R1
Beneil DariushSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Kyle NokeKO/TKO
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaSubmission
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06