UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
Baltimore, USA
26 Apr 2014
Lightweight
VS
64%
Castillo
36%
Brenneman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:21
DC
Danny Castillo
"Last Call"
17 – 10
5'9"71" reachOrthodox46 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
CB
Charlie Brenneman
"The Spaniard"
19 – 8
Well-Rounded5-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'10"
CFR 10

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Castillo

Castillo holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Brenneman has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Castillo throws more volume but Brenneman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Castillo's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brenneman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Castillo
Brenneman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
46
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Castillo
Brenneman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
9.7
40.6
Performance Avg
29.5
34
Quality of Victory
25
89
Momentum Score
45
Castillo
Brenneman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.5
44%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Castillo
Brenneman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Castillo
Brenneman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/27 fights
Chin rating based on
11/27 fights
Castillo
Brenneman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
45
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Castillo
Brenneman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Castillo
Brenneman
Striking3.9 / 0.7Volume6.7 / 8.7Grappling1.7 / 2.4Wrestling1.2 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 1.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Castillo
Strike Zones
Brenneman
Castillo
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Brenneman
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Castillo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brenneman absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Brenneman targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Castillo absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Castillo
RND
Brenneman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Castillo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.6W6.0L5.2W6.0L2.8L5.9L5.5L2011-032012-052013-122015-072015-12
WinLossTrend

Brenneman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.9
0104.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L2.5L2.8L1.5L2010-032011-062012-062014-042014-11
WinLossTrend

Castillo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 5.9
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Paul FelderRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonRating 6
Decision
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08
W · KO · R2
Charlie BrennemanRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04

Brenneman · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Leandro SilvaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux · 2014-11
L · KO · R2
Danny CastilloRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
L · Sub · R1
Beneil DariushRating 2.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Kyle NokeRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06

News & Media

Danny Castillo · Charlie Brenneman
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