UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
Newark, USA
9 May 2026
Lightweight
VS
51%
Miller
49%
Gordon
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:29
Jim
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39 – 19
5'8"71" reachSouthpaw42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
Jared
Jared Gordon
"Flash"
21 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'9"
CFR 42

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Miller

This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 51% vs Gordon at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Gordon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gordon has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Miller
Gordon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
71"+
Reach
68"
42
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Gordon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
42.1
51.5
Performance Avg
42.8
45
Quality of Victory
36
28
Momentum Score
63
Miller
Gordon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.6
41%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
4
3
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Miller
Gordon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Gordon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
18/30 fights
Miller
Gordon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
63
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Miller
Gordon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
33%
6
KO / TKO Wins
3
14
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miller
Gordon
Striking3.4 / 4.4Volume3.5 / 6.4Grappling4.7 / 1.6Wrestling3.3 / 1.1Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
Miller
Strike Zones
Gordon
Miller
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Gordon
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (56% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Gordon targets the head (57% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Miller
RND
Gordon
0/0R00/0

Miller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.4W5.5W5.5L5.0W2.1L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.1L6.5L4.5W3.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W6.8L5.5L5.5L2.4L5.0W2.9L5.0W5.5W5.5L5.2W5.7L6.2L5.2W5.9W5.2W6.4L5.0W5.7W6.2L5.3W6.3L5.4W2008-102012-052017-022021-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Gordon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W4.5W2.5L4.6L4.5W2.9L4.5W4.5W5.2W5.5L4.6W7.2L5.2W6.2L5.2W4.8L1.9L2017-062019-112022-082025-092026-05
WinLossTrend

Miller · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01

Gordon · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · KO · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Thiago MoisesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Mark MadsenRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

News & Media

Jim Miller · Jared Gordon
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