UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Baku, Azerbaijan
21 Jun 2025
Welterweight
VS
55%
Ko
45%
Elliott
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00

CFR 61
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ko
This is a genuine toss-up — Ko at 55% vs Elliott at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Elliott throws more volume but Ko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Ko
Elliott
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+72"
32
Age
+28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ko
Elliott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.8
48.9
55.0
Performance Avg
44.0
25
Quality of Victory
33
100
Momentum Score
61
Ko
Elliott
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.1
82%
Strike Accuracy
56%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
2
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance3
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Ko
Elliott
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ko
Elliott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/15 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Ko
Elliott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
61
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ko
Elliott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ko
Elliott
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
10.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
KoElliott
Strike Zones
Ko
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedElliott
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ko targets the head (80% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Elliott targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ko absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ko
RND
Elliott
0/0R00/0
Ko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Elliott · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Ko · Last 2
W · Dec · R3
Phil RoweRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Oban ElliottRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
Elliott · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jonathan MicallefRating 4.3Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Seokhyeon KoRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Bassil HafezRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsRating 4.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Val WoodburnRating 4.5Decision
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