UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
Philadelphia, USA
6 Aug 2011
Featherweight
VS
33%
Mendes
67%
Yahya
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Yahya
Yahya holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Mendes has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mendes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Mendes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Yahya has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Mendes
Yahya
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
+67"
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mendes
Yahya
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
42.3
54.7
Performance Avg
50.5
48
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
39
Mendes
Yahya
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.5
57%
Strike Accuracy
38%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Mendes
Yahya
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.4
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mendes
Yahya
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
48
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
21/40 fights
Mendes
Yahya
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
39
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Mendes
Yahya
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
54%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
7
3
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mendes
Yahya
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.4
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.4
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
MendesYahya
Strike Zones
Mendes
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedYahya
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mendes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Yahya absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Yahya targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mendes
RND
Yahya
0/0R00/0
Mendes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Yahya · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Mendes · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Myles JuryRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · KO · R1
Frankie EdgarRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
Yahya · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Victor HenryRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Montel JacksonRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Kyung Ho KangRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · Sub · R2
Ray RodriguezRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
Upcoming
Enrique BarzolaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03