METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2017
Women's Strawweight
VS
70%
Namajunas
30%
Waterson-Gomez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:47
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
"The Karate Hottie"
18 – 13
Well-Rounded5-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox62" reach5'3"
CFR 27
★ Official Result
Rose NamajunaswinsSubmissionR2 · 2:47
def. Michelle Waterson-Gomez · UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Namajunas
→
Actual result
Namajunas wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Namajunas is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Namajunas has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Namajunas's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Waterson-Gomez has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NamajunasWaterson-Gomez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Namajunas
Waterson-Gomez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'3"
65"+
Reach
62"
34+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Namajunas
Waterson-Gomez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.4
26.5
54.8
Performance Avg
36.8
49
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
0
Namajunas
Waterson-Gomez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
3.5
5.9
Style: Volume
6.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
1
0
Body
2
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
5Distance8
1Clinch0
27Ground0
Namajunas
Waterson-Gomez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Namajunas
Waterson-Gomez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/23 fights
Chin rating based on
15/31 fights
Namajunas
Waterson-Gomez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R5
Namajunas
Waterson-Gomez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Namajunas
Waterson-Gomez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
NamajunasWaterson-Gomez
Strike Zones
Namajunas
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedWaterson-Gomez
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Namajunas targets the head (94% of attacks) — Waterson-Gomez absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Waterson-Gomez targets the legs (63% of attacks) — Namajunas absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Namajunas
RND
Waterson-Gomez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
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