UFC 53: Heavy Hitters
Atlantic City, USA
4 Jun 2005
Middleweight
VS
53%
Loiseau
47%
McCarthy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:10
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Loiseau
This is a genuine toss-up — Loiseau at 53% vs McCarthy at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
McCarthy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Loiseau has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
McCarthy has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Loiseau
McCarthy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
71"
46
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Loiseau
McCarthy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
17.7
43.7
Performance Avg
45.7
43
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
43
Loiseau
McCarthy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
12%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
3
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
1Clinch0
9Ground0
Loiseau
McCarthy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Loiseau
McCarthy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
56
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/34 fights
Chin rating based on
3/15 fights
Loiseau
McCarthy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Loiseau
McCarthy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Loiseau
McCarthy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
LoiseauMcCarthy
Strike Zones
Loiseau
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedMcCarthy
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Loiseau targets the head (79% of attacks) — McCarthy absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Loiseau
RND
McCarthy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Loiseau · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
McCarthy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Loiseau · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Mario MirandaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 5.7Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike SwickRating 5.5Decision
UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn · 2006-09
L · Dec · R5
Rich FranklinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 58: USA vs Canada · 2006-03
W · R2
Evan TannerRating 4.2UFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10
McCarthy · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Michael BispingRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · Sub · R1
Gideon RayRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
L · KO · R2
David LoiseauRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06