UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Oct 2025
Bantamweight
VS
41%
Gutierrez
59%
Basharat
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Basharat
This is a genuine toss-up — Gutierrez at 41% vs Basharat at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gutierrez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Gutierrez
Basharat
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
67"
Reach
+71"
35
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gutierrez
Basharat
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.2
64.0
49.3
Performance Avg
57.9
35
Quality of Victory
30
25
Momentum Score
100
Gutierrez
Basharat
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.9
61%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
6
0
Body
2
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
18Distance12
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Gutierrez
Basharat
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gutierrez
Basharat
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/29 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Gutierrez
Basharat
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
100
Current form
6-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Gutierrez
Basharat
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
17%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gutierrez
Basharat
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
GutierrezBasharat
Strike Zones
Gutierrez
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedBasharat
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gutierrez targets the head (79% of attacks) — Basharat absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Basharat targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gutierrez absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gutierrez
RND
Basharat
0/0R00/0
Gutierrez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Basharat · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Gutierrez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatRating 7Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 5.3Decision
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Quang LeRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Song YadongRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
Basharat · Last 5
Upcoming
Ethyn EwingUFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Jean MatsumotoRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 5Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Victor HugoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusRating 5.2Decision
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