UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3
Sao Paulo, Brazil
7 Nov 2015
Bantamweight
VS
6%
Korea
94%
Nicolau
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:27
BK
Bruno Korea
7 – 3
5'6"65" reach34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 3
Matheus
Matheus Nicolau
19 – 6
Well-Rounded3-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 38

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nicolau

Nicolau is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Nicolau has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.

Nicolau has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Nicolau has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Korea
Nicolau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
65"
Reach
+66"
34
Age
+33
—
Stance
Orthodox
Korea
Nicolau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.5
38.0
0.0
Performance Avg
44.7
0
Quality of Victory
32
0
Momentum Score
49
Korea
Nicolau
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.2
1.1
13%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
13
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance5
0Clinch0
1Ground8
Korea
Nicolau
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Korea
Nicolau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
32
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/10 fights
Chin rating based on
11/25 fights
Korea
Nicolau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
49
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Korea
Nicolau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
29%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Korea
Nicolau
Striking0.0 / 2.7Volume0.0 / 7.0Grappling0.0 / 2.9Wrestling0.0 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 1.4Pressure0.0 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Korea
Strike Zones
Nicolau
Korea
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD0BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Nicolau
Attacking
13HEAD0BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Korea targets the head (50% of attacks) — Nicolau absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Nicolau targets the head (100% of attacks) — Korea absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Korea
RND
Nicolau
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nicolau · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L6.2W4.6W4.5W5.4W2.3L3.4L6.6L2015-112018-072022-032024-042024-10
WinLossTrend

Korea · Last 1

L · Sub · R3
Matheus NicolauRating 4.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11

Nicolau · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Asu AlmabayevRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Alex PerezRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Brandon RoyvalRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · KO · R2
Matt SchnellRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
David DvorakRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03

News & Media

Bruno Korea · Matheus Nicolau
← Back to fights