UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao
Dublin, Ireland
19 Jul 2014
Flyweight
VS
52%
Holohan
48%
Sampo
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:06
PH
Paddy Holohan
"The Hooligan"
12 – 2
5'10"69" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
JS
Josh Sampo
"The Gremlin"
11 – 5
Submission Hunter3-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'4"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Holohan

This is a genuine toss-up — Holohan at 52% vs Sampo at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sampo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Holohan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Holohan
Sampo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'4"
69"+
Reach
64"
38+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holohan
Sampo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
16.7
44.8
Performance Avg
39.7
35
Quality of Victory
50
74
Momentum Score
36
Holohan
Sampo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.6
40%
Strike Accuracy
29%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
0
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance3
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Holohan
Sampo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holohan
Sampo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Holohan
Sampo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
36
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Holohan
Sampo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holohan
Sampo
Striking1.2 / 0.5Volume6.5 / 0.5Grappling4.3 / 8.0Wrestling3.0 / 5.6Submission3.3 / 10.0Pressure4.1 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Holohan
Strike Zones
Sampo
Holohan
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY3LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Sampo
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY3LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holohan targets the head (70% of attacks) — Sampo absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Sampo targets the head (67% of attacks) — Holohan absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holohan
RND
Sampo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Holohan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W2.8L2014-072014-102015-012015-072015-10
WinLossTrend

Sampo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.2W5.5L1.5L5.5L2013-112014-022014-072015-05
WinLossTrend

Holohan · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Louis SmolkaRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Vaughan LeeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Shane HowellRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Chris KeladesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · Sub · R1
Josh SampoRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07

Sampo · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Justin ScogginsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
L · Sub · R1
Paddy HolohanRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Zach MakovskyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
W · Sub · R2
Ryan BenoitRating 5.2
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · 2013-11

News & Media

Paddy Holohan · Josh Sampo
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