METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
Las Vegas, USA
15 Mar 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Nurgozhay
43%
Ribeiro
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:28
★ Official Result
Brendson RibeirowinsSubmissionR2 · 1:28
def. Diyar Nurgozhay · UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nurgozhay
→
Actual result
Ribeiro wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nurgozhay at 57% vs Ribeiro at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Ribeiro has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NurgozhayRibeiro
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nurgozhay
Ribeiro
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+81"
29+
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nurgozhay
Ribeiro
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.7
37.2
45.5
Performance Avg
32.3
43
Quality of Victory
37
49
Momentum Score
54
Nurgozhay
Ribeiro
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
4.3
5.0
Style: Volume
4.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
2Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Nurgozhay
Ribeiro
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nurgozhay
Ribeiro
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
18
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
8/27 fights
Nurgozhay
Ribeiro
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
54
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Nurgozhay
Ribeiro
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nurgozhay
Ribeiro
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
NurgozhayRibeiro
Strike Zones
Nurgozhay
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedRibeiro
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nurgozhay targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ribeiro absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Ribeiro targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Nurgozhay absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nurgozhay
RND
Ribeiro
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nurgozhay · Last 4
W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
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UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Uran SatybaldievSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendson RibeiroSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
Ribeiro · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Magomed TuchalovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · Sub · R1
Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Oumar SyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
L · KO · R1
Azamat MurzakanovKO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Sub · R2
Diyar NurgozhaySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03