METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
Elmont, USA
16 Jul 2022
Women's Strawweight
VS
32%
Waterson-Gomez
68%
Lemos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:48
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
"The Karate Hottie"
18 – 13
5'3"62" reachOrthodox40 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 27
★ Official Result
Amanda LemoswinsSubmissionR2 · 1:48
def. Michelle Waterson-Gomez · UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lemos
→
Actual result
Lemos wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Lemos holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Waterson-Gomez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Waterson-Gomez's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lemos has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
Waterson-GomezLemos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Waterson-Gomez
Lemos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'4"
62"
Reach
+65"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Waterson-Gomez
Lemos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.5
55.2
36.8
Performance Avg
48.1
35
Quality of Victory
43
0
Momentum Score
85
Waterson-Gomez
Lemos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
5.6
6.1
Style: Volume
4.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
5
5
Body
2
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Waterson-Gomez
Lemos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Waterson-Gomez
Lemos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
15 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/31 fights
Chin rating based on
16/21 fights
Waterson-Gomez
Lemos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
85
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Waterson-Gomez
Lemos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
56%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Waterson-Gomez
Lemos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Waterson-GomezLemos
Strike Zones
Waterson-Gomez
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedLemos
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Waterson-Gomez targets the legs (46% of attacks) — Lemos absorbs 46% of strikes there
🎯Lemos targets the head (71% of attacks) — Waterson-Gomez absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Waterson-Gomez
RND
Lemos
0/0R00/0
Waterson-Gomez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Marina RodriguezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroDecision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Sub · R2
Amanda LemosSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Marina RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Lemos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexia ThainaraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Tatiana SuarezDecision
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Sub · R2
Virna JandirobaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07