UFC 84: Ill Will
Las Vegas, USA
24 May 2008
Light Heavyweight
VS
94%
Silva
6%
Mendes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:24
TS
Thiago Silva
19 – 6
6'2"74" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 25
AM
Antonio Mendes
"Samurai"
18 – 13
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'3"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

Silva is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Mendes has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Silva
Mendes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+77"
43+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Silva
Mendes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.7
1.6
60.6
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Silva
Mendes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
47%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
1
5
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
3Clinch3
15Ground0
Silva
Mendes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Silva
Mendes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
56
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
2/31 fights
Silva
Mendes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Silva
Mendes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Mendes
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume2.5 / 0.0Grappling0.3 / 0.0Wrestling0.2 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.1 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Silva
Strike Zones
Mendes
Silva
Attacking
14HEAD5BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD4BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Mendes
Attacking
1HEAD4BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD5BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (74% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Mendes targets the body (80% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Mendes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.0W5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W2007-052008-052010-012013-10
WinLossTrend

Mendes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 1.5
0101.5L1.5L2008-052009-01
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · KO · R1
Rafael CavalcanteRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
Upcoming
Stanislav Nedkov
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Alexander GustafssonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
Upcoming
Brandon Vera
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01

Mendes · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Eric SchaferRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · KO · R1
Thiago SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05

News & Media

Thiago Silva · Antonio Mendes
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