UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
Newark, USA
19 Mar 2011
Lightweight
VS
54%
Pellegrino
46%
Tibau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KP
Kurt Pellegrino
"Batman"
16 – 7
5'8"70" reachOrthodox47 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
GT
Gleison Tibau
33 – 14
Well-Rounded4-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'10"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pellegrino

This is a genuine toss-up — Pellegrino at 54% vs Tibau at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Pellegrino has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Striking split: Tibau throws more volume but Pellegrino connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Tibau has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pellegrino
Tibau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
47
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pellegrino
Tibau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
15.4
50.1
Performance Avg
43.2
45
Quality of Victory
34
48
Momentum Score
74
Pellegrino
Tibau
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.8
42%
Strike Accuracy
35%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
17
1
Body
9
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance23
0Clinch1
0Ground2
Pellegrino
Tibau
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pellegrino
Tibau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
28/47 fights
Pellegrino
Tibau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
74
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Pellegrino
Tibau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
31%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pellegrino
Tibau
Striking2.6 / 1.8Volume3.5 / 6.6Grappling5.3 / 3.6Wrestling3.7 / 2.5Submission5.7 / 2.5Pressure6.8 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Pellegrino
Strike Zones
Tibau
Pellegrino
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD9BODY0LEGS26 absorbed
Tibau
Attacking
17HEAD9BODY0LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pellegrino targets the head (86% of attacks) — Tibau absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Tibau targets the head (65% of attacks) — Pellegrino absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pellegrino
RND
Tibau
0/0R00/0

Pellegrino · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.0L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.2W2.8L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L2006-072007-082008-092010-032011-03
WinLossTrend

Tibau · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.9L4.5W5.2W4.7W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.0L4.0L3.5L5.5L2006-112009-042011-112014-072018-06
WinLossTrend

Pellegrino · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R2
Fabricio CamoesRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Josh NeerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
W · Sub · R2
Rob EmersonRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02

Tibau · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · R1
Abel TrujilloRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 2
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

News & Media

Kurt Pellegrino · Gleison Tibau
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