METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
Newark, USA
19 Mar 2011
Lightweight
VS
54%
Pellegrino
46%
Tibau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KP
Kurt Pellegrino
"Batman"
16 – 7
5'8"70" reachOrthodox47 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
GT
Gleison Tibau
33 – 14
Well-Rounded4-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'10"
CFR 15
★ Official Result
Gleison TibauwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kurt Pellegrino · UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pellegrino
→
Actual result
Tibau wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Pellegrino at 54% vs Tibau at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Pellegrino has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Risk flags

Tibau has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PellegrinoTibau
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pellegrino
Tibau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
47
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Pellegrino
Tibau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
15.4
50.1
Performance Avg
43.2
45
Quality of Victory
34
48
Momentum Score
74
Pellegrino
Tibau
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
3.9
3.5
Style: Volume
6.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
17
1
Body
9
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance23
0Clinch1
0Ground2
Pellegrino
Tibau
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
5.7
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
4
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pellegrino
Tibau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
28/47 fights
Pellegrino
Tibau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
74
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Pellegrino
Tibau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
31%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pellegrino
Tibau
Striking2.6 / 1.8Volume3.5 / 6.6Grappling5.3 / 3.6Wrestling3.7 / 2.5Submission5.7 / 2.5Pressure6.8 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Pellegrino
Strike Zones
Tibau
Pellegrino
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD9BODY0LEGS26 absorbed
Tibau
Attacking
17HEAD9BODY0LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pellegrino targets the head (86% of attacks) — Tibau absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Tibau targets the head (65% of attacks) — Pellegrino absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pellegrino
RND
Tibau
0/0R00/0

Pellegrino · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gleison Tibau
Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
George Sotiropoulos
Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R2
Fabricio Camoes
Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Josh Neer
Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
W · Sub · R2
Rob Emerson
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02

Tibau · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Desmond Green
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Islam Makhachev
KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · R1
Abel Trujillo
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Tony Ferguson
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Norman Parke
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

News & Media

Kurt Pellegrino · Gleison Tibau
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