UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne
Halifax, Canada
19 Feb 2017
Middleweight
VS
31%
Marshman
69%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:21
JM
Jack Marshman
"The Hammer"
23 – 10
6'0"73" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
TS
Thiago Santos
"Marreta"
22 – 11
Knockout Artist2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'2"
CFR 32

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Santos

Santos holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Marshman has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Marshman's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Marshman
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+76"
36+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Marshman
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.2
32.2
36.0
Performance Avg
54.0
35
Quality of Victory
51
54
Momentum Score
91
Marshman
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.6
25%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
7
0
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
1Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Marshman
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marshman
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/33 fights
Chin rating based on
24/33 fights
Marshman
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Marshman
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
79%
1
KO / TKO Wins
11
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Marshman
Santos
Striking4.1 / 9.0Volume6.1 / 2.9Grappling1.6 / 0.5Wrestling1.1 / 0.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Marshman
Strike Zones
Santos
Marshman
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Marshman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (64% of attacks) — Marshman absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Marshman
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Marshman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.2W2.8L4.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W2.9L6.6L2016-112017-072018-112019-072020-10
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0101.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.2W6.3W5.9W6.4W1.5L5.1W6.0W5.2W5.8W7.3L3.1L5.6L5.3W7.0L4.6L2013-082016-052018-022019-072022-08
WinLossTrend

Marshman · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · Sub · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9
Submission
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
John PhillipsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Karl RobersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11

News & Media

Jack Marshman · Thiago Santos
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