METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne
Halifax, Canada
19 Feb 2017
Middleweight
VS
31%
Marshman
69%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:21
★ Official Result
Thiago SantoswinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:21
def. Jack Marshman · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Santos wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Santos holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Marshman has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Marshman's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MarshmanSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Marshman
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+76"
36+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Marshman
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.2
32.2
36.0
Performance Avg
54.0
35
Quality of Victory
51
54
Momentum Score
91
Marshman
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
9.0
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
7.3
6.1
Style: Volume
2.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
11 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
7
0
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
1Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Marshman
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Marshman
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/33 fights
Chin rating based on
24/33 fights
Marshman
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Marshman
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
79%
1
KO / TKO Wins
11
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Marshman
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
MarshmanSantos
Strike Zones
Marshman
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedSantos
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Marshman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (64% of attacks) — Marshman absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Marshman
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Marshman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · Sub · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanSubmission
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
John PhillipsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Karl RobersonDecision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicDecision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11