METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne
Halifax, Canada
19 Feb 2017
Middleweight
VS
31%
Marshman
69%
Santos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:21
★ Official Result
Thiago SantoswinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:21
def. Jack Marshman · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Santos wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Santos holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Marshman has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Marshman's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MarshmanSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Marshman
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+76"
36+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Marshman
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.2
32.2
36.0
Performance Avg
54.0
35
Quality of Victory
51
54
Momentum Score
91
Marshman
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.6
25%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
7
0
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
1Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Marshman
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marshman
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/33 fights
Chin rating based on
24/33 fights
Marshman
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
91
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Marshman
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
79%
1
KO / TKO Wins
11
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Marshman
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
MarshmanSantos
Strike Zones
Marshman
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedSantos
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Marshman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (64% of attacks) — Marshman absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Marshman
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Marshman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Marshman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
L · Sub · R1
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 2.9Submission
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
John PhillipsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Karl RobersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
L · Sub · R1
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11