UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
Tampa, USA
16 Apr 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
74%
Teixeira
26%
Evans
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:48
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Teixeira
Teixeira is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Teixeira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Teixeira's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Evans has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Teixeira
Evans
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
75"
46
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Teixeira
Evans
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
15.3
58.4
Performance Avg
53.1
51
Quality of Victory
46
59
Momentum Score
25
Teixeira
Evans
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
52%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
7
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance5
2Clinch2
1Ground0
Teixeira
Evans
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Teixeira
Evans
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
24
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
23/27 fights
Teixeira
Evans
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Teixeira
Evans
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
43%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
7
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Teixeira
Evans
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
TeixeiraEvans
Strike Zones
Teixeira
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedEvans
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Teixeira targets the head (83% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Evans targets the head (100% of attacks) — Teixeira absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Teixeira
RND
Evans
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Teixeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Evans · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Teixeira · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 6.8Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Sub · R5
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.7Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · Sub · R3
Thiago SantosRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · KO · R5
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
Evans · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10