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UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
Tampa, USA
16 Apr 2016
Light Heavyweight
VS
74%
Teixeira
26%
Evans
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 Β· 1:48
GT
Glover Teixeira
33 – 9
6'2"76" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 43
RE
Rashad Evans
"Suga"
19 – 8
Well-Rounded5-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 15
β˜… Official Result
Glover TeixeirawinsKO/TKOR1 Β· 1:48
def. Rashad Evans Β· UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Teixeira
β†’
Actual result
Teixeira wins
KO/TKO Β· R1
Pre-fight analysis

Teixeira is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Teixeira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Teixeira's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Evans has a chin rating of 24 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
TeixeiraEvans
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Teixeira
Evans
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
75"
46
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Teixeira
Evans
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
15.3
58.4
Performance Avg
53.1
51
Quality of Victory
46
59
Momentum Score
25
Teixeira
Evans
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.9
52%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
7
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance5
2Clinch2
1Ground0
Teixeira
Evans
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
β€”
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Teixeira
Evans
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
24
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
23/27 fights
Teixeira
Evans
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
59
25
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
5-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· Dec Β· R5
L Β· Sub Β· R5
W Β· Sub Β· R2
W Β· Sub Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R5
Last 5
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Teixeira
Evans
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
43%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
7
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Teixeira
Evans
Striking4.5 / 5.6Volume2.9 / 5.8Grappling4.0 / 1.4Wrestling2.8 / 1.0Submission4.4 / 0.0Pressure7.3 / 4.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
Teixeira
Strike Zones
Evans
Teixeira
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Evans
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Teixeira targets the head (83% of attacks) β€” Evans absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Evans targets the head (100% of attacks) β€” Teixeira absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Teixeira
RND
Evans
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Teixeira Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W4.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W7.3L5.5L5.8W5.2W5.0W1.5L5.5W4.0L5.0W5.5L5.0W5.5W5.7W6.7W5.2W5.7W5.7L6.8L2012-052014-102017-052020-052023-01
WinLossTrend

Evans Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.2W2.1L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W7.3L5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L1.9L5.5L5.5L2.7L2005-112008-092012-012016-042018-06
WinLossTrend

Teixeira Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R5
Jamahal HillRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill Β· 2023-01
L Β· Sub Β· R5
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka Β· 2022-06
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.7
Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira Β· 2021-10
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Thiago SantosRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira Β· 2020-11
W Β· KO Β· R5
Anthony SmithRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira Β· 2020-05

Evans Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 Β· 2018-06
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno Β· 2017-08
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 Β· 2017-03
L Β· KO Β· R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans Β· 2016-04
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson Β· 2015-10

News & Media

Glover Teixeira Β· Rashad Evans
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