UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
London, United Kingdom
22 Mar 2025
Flyweight
VS
63%
Kavanagh
37%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Lone'er
Lone'er Kavanagh
101
5'6"67" reachOrthodox26 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Felipe
Felipe dos Santos
"Lipe Detona"
83
Well-Rounded2-fight slide25 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 29

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kavanagh

Kavanagh holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Santos has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Santos throws more volume but Kavanagh connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Kavanagh
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
67"
Reach
+70"
26
Age
+25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kavanagh
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.0
29.3
45.0
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
78
Momentum Score
28
Kavanagh
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
35%
1.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
7
6
Body
1
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance7
1Clinch0
3Ground4
Kavanagh
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kavanagh
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
5/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Kavanagh
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
28
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Kavanagh
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kavanagh
Santos
Striking1.5 / 0.5Volume9.5 / 8.5Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.3 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
9.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Kavanagh
Strike Zones
Santos
Kavanagh
Attacking
11HEAD6BODY1LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD6BODY1LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kavanagh targets the head (61% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (64% of attacks) — Kavanagh absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kavanagh
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0

Kavanagh · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.4W4.5W3.7L5.4W2024-112025-032025-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.3
0107.2L4.6W7.0L6.2L2023-092024-022024-092025-03
WinLossTrend

Kavanagh · Last 5

Upcoming
Brandon Royval
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · KO · R2
Charles JohnsonRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Felipe dos SantosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Jose OchoaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11

Santos · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Andre LimaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Victor AltamiranoRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Manel KapeRating 7.2
Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

News & Media

Lone'er Kavanagh · Felipe dos Santos
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