METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
London, United Kingdom
22 Mar 2025
Flyweight
VS
58%
Kavanagh
42%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Lone'er KavanaghwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Felipe dos Santos · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kavanagh
→
Actual result
Kavanagh wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Kavanagh at 58% vs Santos at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Kavanagh's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KavanaghSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kavanagh
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
67"
Reach
+70"
27
Age
+25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kavanagh
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
29.3
39.0
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
60
Momentum Score
28
Kavanagh
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.8
Style: Pressure
0.8
9.2
Style: Volume
8.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
7
6
Body
1
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance7
1Clinch0
3Ground4
Kavanagh
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kavanagh
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Kavanagh
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
28
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Kavanagh
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kavanagh
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
9.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
KavanaghSantos
Strike Zones
Kavanagh
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedSantos
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kavanagh targets the head (61% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (64% of attacks) — Kavanagh absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kavanagh
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Kavanagh · Last 5
Upcoming
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L · KO · R2
Charles JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
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Felipe dos SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
Santos · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Lone'er KavanaghDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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