UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
London, United Kingdom
22 Mar 2025
Flyweight
VS
63%
Kavanagh
37%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kavanagh
Kavanagh holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Santos has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Santos throws more volume but Kavanagh connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Kavanagh
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
67"
Reach
+70"
26
Age
+25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kavanagh
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.0
29.3
45.0
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
78
Momentum Score
28
Kavanagh
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.1
49%
Strike Accuracy
35%
1.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
7
6
Body
1
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance7
1Clinch0
3Ground4
Kavanagh
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kavanagh
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Kavanagh
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
28
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Kavanagh
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kavanagh
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
9.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
KavanaghSantos
Strike Zones
Kavanagh
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedSantos
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kavanagh targets the head (61% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (64% of attacks) — Kavanagh absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kavanagh
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
Kavanagh · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.3WinLossTrend
Kavanagh · Last 5
Upcoming
Brandon RoyvalUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · KO · R2
Charles JohnsonRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Felipe dos SantosRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Jose OchoaRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
Santos · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Andre LimaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Victor AltamiranoRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Manel KapeRating 7.2Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

