UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Atlanta, USA
14 Jun 2025
Middleweight
VS
59%
Shahbazyan
41%
Petroski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Edmen
Edmen Shahbazyan
"The Golden Boy"
165
6'2"75" reachOrthodox28 yrs3-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 63
Andre
Andre Petroski
136
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsSwitch73" reach6'0"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Shahbazyan

This is a genuine toss-up — Shahbazyan at 59% vs Petroski at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Shahbazyan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Striking split: Shahbazyan throws more volume but Petroski connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Shahbazyan's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Petroski has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Shahbazyan
Petroski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
73"
28+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Shahbazyan
Petroski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.1
44.3
56.3
Performance Avg
45.2
51
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
63
Shahbazyan
Petroski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.8
48%
Strike Accuracy
55%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
3
2
Body
4
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
17Distance9
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Shahbazyan
Petroski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shahbazyan
Petroski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
13/19 fights
Shahbazyan
Petroski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
63
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Shahbazyan
Petroski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
38%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shahbazyan
Petroski
Striking8.0 / 2.5Volume3.1 / 6.2Grappling1.4 / 3.5Wrestling1.0 / 2.5Submission1.1 / 2.5Pressure7.4 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Shahbazyan
Strike Zones
Petroski
Shahbazyan
Attacking
15HEAD2BODY3LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD4BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Petroski
Attacking
3HEAD4BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD2BODY3LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Shahbazyan targets the head (75% of attacks) — Petroski absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Petroski targets the body (44% of attacks) — Shahbazyan absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shahbazyan
RND
Petroski
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Shahbazyan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W4.3L6.4L4.2L5.2W5.4L5.0W3.8L5.0W5.0W5.9W2018-112020-082023-052025-062025-10
WinLossTrend

Petroski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5W5.5W5.0W4.5W5.6W2.1L3.7L4.5W4.5W5.8W6.9L3.5L3.3L2021-082023-082024-092026-05
WinLossTrend

Shahbazyan · Last 5

Upcoming
Brendan Allen
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Andre MunizRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Dylan BudkaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

Petroski · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Cody BrundageRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Cam RowstonRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Rodolfo VieiraRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Dylan BudkaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09

News & Media

Edmen Shahbazyan · Andre Petroski
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