METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Atlanta, USA
14 Jun 2025
Middleweight
VS
59%
Shahbazyan
41%
Petroski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CFR 63
★ Official Result
Edmen ShahbazyanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Andre Petroski · UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Shahbazyan
→
Actual result
Shahbazyan wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Shahbazyan at 59% vs Petroski at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Shahbazyan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Striking split: Shahbazyan throws more volume but Petroski connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Shahbazyan's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Petroski has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ShahbazyanPetroski
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Shahbazyan
Petroski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
73"
28+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Shahbazyan
Petroski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.1
44.3
56.3
Performance Avg
45.2
51
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
63
Shahbazyan
Petroski
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
0.8
48%
Strike Accuracy
55%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
3
2
Body
4
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
17Distance9
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Shahbazyan
Petroski
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Shahbazyan
Petroski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
13/19 fights
Shahbazyan
Petroski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
63
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Shahbazyan
Petroski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
38%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shahbazyan
Petroski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
ShahbazyanPetroski
Strike Zones
Shahbazyan
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedPetroski
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shahbazyan targets the head (75% of attacks) — Petroski absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Petroski targets the body (44% of attacks) — Shahbazyan absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shahbazyan
RND
Petroski
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Shahbazyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Petroski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Shahbazyan · Last 5
Upcoming
Brendan AllenUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Andre MunizRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Andre PetroskiRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Dylan BudkaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
Petroski · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Cody BrundageRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · KO · R1
Cam RowstonRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Rodolfo VieiraRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Dylan BudkaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09