★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
Montreal, Canada
16 Mar 2013
Welterweight
VS
46%
St-Pierre
54%
Diaz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
GS
Georges St-Pierre
"Rush"
26 – 2
5'11"76" reachOrthodox45 yrs13-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 25
ND
Nick Diaz
26 – 10
Striker3-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'1"
CFR 29

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Diaz

This is a genuine toss-up — St-Pierre at 46% vs Diaz at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

St-Pierre has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

St-Pierre's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Diaz has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

St-Pierre
Diaz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
76"
Reach
76"
45
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
St-Pierre
Diaz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.6
28.9
67.2
Performance Avg
49.6
51
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
46
St-Pierre
Diaz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
57%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
2
10
Body
8
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance3
7Clinch8
7Ground0
St-Pierre
Diaz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
St-Pierre
Diaz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
15/36 fights
St-Pierre
Diaz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
46
13-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
St-Pierre
Diaz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
86%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
2
12
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

St-Pierre
Diaz
Striking4.3 / 6.7Volume6.6 / 2.1Grappling2.6 / 2.6Wrestling1.9 / 1.8Submission1.5 / 2.9Pressure5.5 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
St-Pierre
Strike Zones
Diaz
St-Pierre
Attacking
11HEAD10BODY2LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD8BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Diaz
Attacking
2HEAD8BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD10BODY2LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯St-Pierre targets the head (48% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Diaz targets the body (73% of attacks) — St-Pierre absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

St-Pierre
RND
Diaz
0/0R00/0

St-Pierre · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.1W1.5L4.5W5.1W5.1W4.5W5.4W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W2004-012006-032008-082012-112017-11
WinLossTrend

Diaz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5W5.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L5.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L3.0L2003-092005-062006-082013-032021-09
WinLossTrend

St-Pierre · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Johny HendricksRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
W · Dec · R5
Nick DiazRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R5
Jake ShieldsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04

Diaz · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Robbie LawlerRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
Upcoming
Anderson Silva
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · Dec · R5
Georges St-PierreRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
L · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10

News & Media

Georges St-Pierre · Nick Diaz
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