UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik
Las Vegas, USA
4 Jun 2022
Lightweight
VS
77%
Solecki
23%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Solecki
Solecki is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Solecki has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Silva throws more volume but Solecki connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Solecki
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
+73"
32
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Solecki
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
14.5
43.6
Performance Avg
25.0
36
Quality of Victory
25
65
Momentum Score
17
Solecki
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
16
0
Body
9
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
26Distance25
1Clinch1
0Ground2
Solecki
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Solecki
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
4/25 fights
Solecki
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
17
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Solecki
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Solecki
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
SoleckiSilva
Strike Zones
Solecki
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedSilva
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Solecki targets the head (96% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (57% of attacks) — Solecki absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Solecki
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Solecki · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Solecki · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nurullo AlievRating 6.8Decision
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Grant DawsonRating 7Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Drakkar KloseRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
W · Sub · R2
Carl DeatonRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Alex Da SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
Silva · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Joe SoleckiRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Brad RiddellRating 5.5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Kazula VargasRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
L · Sub · R2
Alexander YakovlevRating 2.8Submission
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