UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
Tampa, USA
14 Dec 2024
Women's Flyweight
VS
52%
Maverick
48%
Horth
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Maverick
This is a genuine toss-up — Maverick at 52% vs Horth at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Horth has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Maverick
Horth
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'7"
65"
Reach
+66"
28+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maverick
Horth
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.8
48.4
45.4
Performance Avg
43.1
31
Quality of Victory
34
73
Momentum Score
60
Maverick
Horth
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
49%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
8
2
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Maverick
Horth
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maverick
Horth
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/12 fights
Maverick
Horth
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
60
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Maverick
Horth
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maverick
Horth
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
MaverickHorth
Strike Zones
Maverick
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedHorth
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maverick targets the head (69% of attacks) — Horth absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Horth targets the head (89% of attacks) — Maverick absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maverick
RND
Horth
0/0R00/0
Maverick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Horth · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Maverick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rose NamajunasRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Dione BarbosaRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Sub · R3
Priscila CachoeiraRating 6.5Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Horth · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Tereza BledaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Ivana PetrovicRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11

