UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
8 Mar 2025
Middleweight
VS
69%
Ferreira
31%
Petrosyan
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ferreira
Ferreira holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Petrosyan has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ferreira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Petrosyan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ferreira's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Petrosyan has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ferreira
Petrosyan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
72"+
Reach
71"
33+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ferreira
Petrosyan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.1
30.3
57.5
Performance Avg
32.1
51
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
30
Ferreira
Petrosyan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
2.5
50%
Strike Accuracy
53%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
13
5
Body
3
1
Leg
8
RangeRange
14Distance24
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ferreira
Petrosyan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ferreira
Petrosyan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/18 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Ferreira
Petrosyan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
30
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ferreira
Petrosyan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ferreira
Petrosyan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
FerreiraPetrosyan
Strike Zones
Ferreira
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedPetrosyan
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ferreira targets the head (57% of attacks) — Petrosyan absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Petrosyan targets the head (54% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ferreira
RND
Petrosyan
0/0R00/0
Ferreira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Petrosyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Ferreira · Last 5
Upcoming
Ikram AliskerovUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R1
Jackson McVeyRating 6Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Armen PetrosyanRating 5.2Submission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
Petrosyan · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Brunno FerreiraRating 4.3Submission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Shara MagomedovRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Sub · R1
Rodolfo VieiraRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
AJ DobsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10