★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
Newark, USA
7 Jun 2025
Bantamweight
VS
48%
Dvalishvili
52%
O'Malley
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:42
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: O'Malley
This is a genuine toss-up — Dvalishvili at 48% vs O'Malley at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
O'Malley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
O'Malley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
O'Malley has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Dvalishvili
O'Malley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
68"
Reach
+72"
35
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Dvalishvili
O'Malley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.4
65.3
53.2
Performance Avg
59.5
34
Quality of Victory
47
100
Momentum Score
95
Dvalishvili
O'Malley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
62%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
5
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
2Clinch0
10Ground0
Dvalishvili
O'Malley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dvalishvili
O'Malley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
16/22 fights
Dvalishvili
O'Malley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
95
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Dvalishvili
O'Malley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
55%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dvalishvili
O'Malley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
DvalishviliO'Malley
Strike Zones
Dvalishvili
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedO'Malley
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dvalishvili targets the head (42% of attacks) — O'Malley absorbs 42% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dvalishvili
RND
O'Malley
0/0R00/0
Dvalishvili · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
O'Malley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Dvalishvili · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Petr YanRating 7Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Sub · R3
Sean O'MalleyRating 6.8Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovRating 5.8Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 6Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
O'Malley · Last 5
Upcoming
Aiemann ZahabiUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 5.8Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 4Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R5
Marlon VeraRating 5.3Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

