UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates
Las Vegas, USA
9 Nov 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
35%
Kowalkiewicz
65%
Gomes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gomes
Gomes holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Kowalkiewicz has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gomes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Kowalkiewicz throws more volume but Gomes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Kowalkiewicz's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kowalkiewicz
Gomes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"+
Height
5'2"
64"+
Reach
63"
40
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kowalkiewicz
Gomes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.7
60.0
35.6
Performance Avg
54.5
28
Quality of Victory
41
40
Momentum Score
74
Kowalkiewicz
Gomes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.4
42%
Strike Accuracy
53%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
13
10
Body
12
5
Leg
3
RangeRange
23Distance23
3Clinch5
0Ground0
Kowalkiewicz
Gomes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kowalkiewicz
Gomes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Kowalkiewicz
Gomes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
74
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Kowalkiewicz
Gomes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
11%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kowalkiewicz
Gomes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
KowalkiewiczGomes
Strike Zones
Kowalkiewicz
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedGomes
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kowalkiewicz targets the head (42% of attacks) — Gomes absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Gomes targets the head (46% of attacks) — Kowalkiewicz absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kowalkiewicz
RND
Gomes
0/0R00/0
Kowalkiewicz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Gomes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Kowalkiewicz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Julia PolastriRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Diana BelbitaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
Gomes · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R2
Elise ReedRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

