UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
Birmingham, United Kingdom
5 Nov 2011
Welterweight
VS
55%
Maguire
45%
Edwards
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JM
John Maguire
"The One"
24 – 9
5'9"69" reachSouthpaw43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
JE
Justin Edwards
"Fast Eddy"
9 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'10"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Maguire

This is a genuine toss-up — Maguire at 55% vs Edwards at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Edwards throws more volume but Maguire connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Edwards has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Maguire
Edwards
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
+70"
43
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maguire
Edwards
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
12.9
38.3
Performance Avg
35.1
37
Quality of Victory
40
50
Momentum Score
26
Maguire
Edwards
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.7
43%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
3
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance3
4Clinch0
3Ground1
Maguire
Edwards
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maguire
Edwards
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/33 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Maguire
Edwards
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
26
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Maguire
Edwards
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maguire
Edwards
Striking0.8 / 0.6Volume4.8 / 4.6Grappling5.2 / 5.2Wrestling3.6 / 3.6Submission5.0 / 5.0Pressure4.7 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Maguire
Strike Zones
Edwards
Maguire
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Edwards
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maguire targets the head (82% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Edwards targets the head (75% of attacks) — Maguire absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maguire
RND
Edwards
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Maguire · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L5.5L2011-112012-042012-092012-112013-06
WinLossTrend

Edwards · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W1.5L5.5L4.0L2011-062011-112013-082015-06
WinLossTrend

Maguire · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mitch ClarkeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
L · Dec · R3
Matthew RiddleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
John HathawayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · Sub · R2
DaMarques JohnsonRating 5.2
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
W · Dec · R3
Justin EdwardsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11

Edwards · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Joe ProctorRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · Dec · R3
Ramsey NijemRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Brandon ThatchRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
W · Sub · R1
Josh NeerRating 5
Submission
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Dec · R3
John MaguireRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11

News & Media

John Maguire · Justin Edwards
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