UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
Las Vegas, USA
28 Nov 2020
Catch Weight
VS
21%
Sanders
79%
Maness
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:29
LS
Luke Sanders
"Cool Hand"
13 – 5
5'6"67" reachSouthpaw40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
Nate
Nate Maness
"Mayhem"
16 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 59

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Maness

Maness is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Sanders throws more volume but Maness connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Sanders's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sanders
Maness
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
67"
Reach
+72"
40
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sanders
Maness
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
58.7
41.8
Performance Avg
54.3
45
Quality of Victory
43
46
Momentum Score
100
Sanders
Maness
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.6
46%
Strike Accuracy
55%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
17
2
Body
3
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
22Distance15
3Clinch3
0Ground2
Sanders
Maness
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sanders
Maness
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Sanders
Maness
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Sanders
Maness
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sanders
Maness
Striking4.1 / 5.4Volume3.4 / 4.6Grappling3.5 / 2.6Wrestling2.4 / 1.8Submission3.3 / 2.0Pressure5.8 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Sanders
Strike Zones
Maness
Sanders
Attacking
21HEAD2BODY2LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD3BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Maness
Attacking
17HEAD3BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD2BODY2LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sanders targets the head (84% of attacks) — Maness absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Maness targets the head (85% of attacks) — Sanders absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sanders
RND
Maness
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Sanders · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0105.0W2.8L2.8L4.5W1.9L5.2W3.9L5.5L2016-012017-122018-082020-112021-05
WinLossTrend

Maness · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.2W5.2W6.8L2.6L5.0W5.0W2020-082021-092022-112024-06
WinLossTrend

Sanders · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Felipe ColaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
L · Sub · R2
Nate ManessRating 3.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
W · KO · R2
Renan BaraoRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · Sub · R1
Rani YahyaRating 1.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Patrick WilliamsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04

Maness · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Jimmy FlickRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Mateus MendoncaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
L · Sub · R1
Tagir UlanbekovRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
W · KO · R2
Tony GravelyRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09

News & Media

Luke Sanders · Nate Maness
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