Ryan Bader vs Vinny Magalhaes — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter 8 Light Heavyweight Tournament

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale

Las Vegas, USA

13 Dec 2008

Ultimate Fighter 8 Light Heavyweight Tournament

59%

Bader

41%

Magalhaes

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 2:18

Ryan Bader

"Darth"

23 – 5

6'2"74" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 20

Vinny Magalhaes

"Pezao"

14 – 9

Submission Hunter2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'3"

CFR 14

★ Official Result

Ryan BaderwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:18

def. Vinny Magalhaes · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Bader

→

Actual result

Bader wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Bader at 59% vs Magalhaes at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Bader's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Magalhaes has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

BaderMagalhaes

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Bader

Magalhaes

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'2"

Height

+6'3"

74"

Reach

+75"

Age

+42

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Bader

Magalhaes

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

20.1

13.8

54.2

Performance Avg

37.7

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Bader

Magalhaes

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.8

/ 10

0.4

/ 10

5.0

Style: Pressure

7.6

6.3

Style: Volume

0.4

5 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

12Distance4

0Clinch0

3Ground0

Bader

Magalhaes

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.0

/ 10

8.0

/ 10

1.4

Wrestling Style (/10)

5.6

0.7

Submission Style (/10)

10.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Bader

Magalhaes

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.3 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

2 fights ago

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

20/28 fights

Chin rating based on

5/23 fights

Bader

Magalhaes

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

W · KO · R3

W · KO · R2

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R2

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

Bader

Magalhaes

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

40%

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bader

Magalhaes

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

4.8

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.4

2.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

8.0

1.4

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

5.6

0.7

Submission

Submission attack frequency

10.0

5.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.6

6.3

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.4

Bader

Strike Zones

Magalhaes

Bader

Attacking

15 landed

Absorbing

4 absorbed

Magalhaes

Attacking

4 landed

Absorbing

15 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Bader targets the head (60% of attacks) — Magalhaes absorbs 60% of strikes there

🎯Magalhaes targets the body (75% of attacks) — Bader absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bader

RND

Magalhaes

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Bader · Last 5

W · KO · R3

Rogerio Nogueira

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11

W · KO · R2

Ilir Latifi

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09

L · KO · R1

Anthony Johnson

KO/TKO

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01

W · Dec · R3

Rashad Evans

Decision

UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10

W · Dec · R3

Phil Davis

Decision

UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

Magalhaes · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Anthony Perosh

KO/TKO

UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08

L · Dec · R3

Phil Davis

Decision

UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04

W · Sub · R2

Igor Pokrajac

Submission

UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09

L · Dec · R3

Eliot Marshall

Decision

UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04

L · KO · R1

Ryan Bader

KO/TKO

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12

News & Media

Ryan Bader · Vinny Magalhaes

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