★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter 8 Light Heavyweight Tournament
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2008
Ultimate Fighter 8 Light Heavyweight Tournament
VS
59%
Bader
41%
Magalhaes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:18
RB
Ryan Bader
"Darth"
23 – 5
6'2"74" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 20
VM
Vinny Magalhaes
"Pezao"
14 – 9
Submission Hunter2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'3"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bader

This is a genuine toss-up — Bader at 59% vs Magalhaes at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Bader has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Bader's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Magalhaes has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Bader
Magalhaes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+75"
42
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bader
Magalhaes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
13.8
54.2
Performance Avg
37.7
40
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
13
Bader
Magalhaes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.6
45%
Strike Accuracy
23%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
1
2
Body
3
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance4
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Bader
Magalhaes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bader
Magalhaes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
5/23 fights
Bader
Magalhaes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
13
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Bader
Magalhaes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bader
Magalhaes
Striking4.8 / 0.4Volume6.3 / 0.4Grappling2.0 / 8.0Wrestling1.4 / 5.6Submission0.7 / 10.0Pressure5.0 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Bader
Strike Zones
Magalhaes
Bader
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY4LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD3BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Magalhaes
Attacking
1HEAD3BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY4LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bader targets the head (60% of attacks) — Magalhaes absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Magalhaes targets the body (75% of attacks) — Bader absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bader
RND
Magalhaes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Bader · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.0W4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W4.5L1.5L5.0W4.5W2.8L5.0W1.9L4.5W4.5W5.1W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.2W2008-122011-022013-012015-012016-11
WinLossTrend

Magalhaes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0101.5L5.5L5.2W5.5L1.5L2008-122009-042012-092013-042013-08
WinLossTrend

Bader · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Ilir LatifiRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Anthony JohnsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Phil DavisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

Magalhaes · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Anthony PeroshRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
L · Dec · R3
Phil DavisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
W · Sub · R2
Igor PokrajacRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 1.5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12

News & Media

Ryan Bader · Vinny Magalhaes
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