UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
Dallas, USA
8 Sept 2018
Bantamweight
VS
60%
Sterling
40%
Stamann
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:42
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sterling
Sterling holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Stamann has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Stamann throws more volume but Sterling connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sterling's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stamann has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sterling
Stamann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
71"+
Reach
64"
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sterling
Stamann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.2
36.0
54.2
Performance Avg
38.0
38
Quality of Victory
30
71
Momentum Score
53
Sterling
Stamann
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
1
4
Body
2
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
3Distance4
3Clinch2
15Ground0
Sterling
Stamann
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.2
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sterling
Stamann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
56
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/31 fights
Chin rating based on
15/29 fights
Sterling
Stamann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
53
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Sterling
Stamann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
14%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sterling
Stamann
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
SterlingStamann
Strike Zones
Sterling
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedStamann
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sterling targets the head (71% of attacks) — Stamann absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Stamann targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Sterling absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sterling
RND
Stamann
0/0R00/0
Sterling · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Stamann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Sterling · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Youssef ZalalRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R5
Brian OrtegaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Sean O'MalleyRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
Stamann · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 2.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Luan LacerdaRating 5Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · KO · R1
Eddie WinelandRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06

