UFC 40: Vendetta
Las Vegas, USA
22 Nov 2002
Middleweight
VS
57%
Miller
43%
Weir
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:50
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miller
This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 57% vs Weir at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Weir has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Weir has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Weir has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Miller
Weir
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
47+
Age
58
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Miller
Weir
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.3
18.3
62.3
Performance Avg
49.3
37
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
35
Miller
Weir
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
1.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
67%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
18
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
1Ground16
Miller
Weir
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
1.2
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Weir
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
66
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/16 fights
Chin rating based on
3/39 fights
Miller
Weir
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
35
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Miller
Weir
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Weir
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
MillerWeir
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedWeir
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (100% of attacks) — Weir absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Weir targets the head (100% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Weir
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Weir · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 2
W · Sub · R2
Mark WeirRating 5.2Submission
UFC 40: Vendetta · 2002-11
W · Dec · R3
James ZikicRating 4.5Decision
UFC 38: Brawl at the Hall · 2002-07
Weir · Last 3
L · KO · R1
David LoiseauRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 42: Sudden Impact · 2003-04
L · Sub · R2
Phillip MillerRating 2.8Submission
UFC 40: Vendetta · 2002-11
W · KO · R1
Eugene JacksonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 38: Brawl at the Hall · 2002-07