METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
3 Aug 2024
Middleweight
VS
43%
Dumas
57%
Tiuliulin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sedriques DumaswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Denis Tiuliulin · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tiuliulin
→
Actual result
Dumas wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Dumas at 43% vs Tiuliulin at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tiuliulin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Risk flags
Dumas's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tiuliulin has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DumasTiuliulin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dumas
Tiuliulin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
77"
31+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dumas
Tiuliulin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.6
36.6
30.0
Performance Avg
39.7
25
Quality of Victory
55
35
Momentum Score
20
Dumas
Tiuliulin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
1.1
Style: Pressure
7.5
8.8
Style: Volume
0.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
6
4
Body
5
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
17Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Dumas
Tiuliulin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dumas
Tiuliulin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/15 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Dumas
Tiuliulin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Dumas
Tiuliulin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dumas
Tiuliulin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
DumasTiuliulin
Strike Zones
Dumas
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTiuliulin
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dumas targets the head (71% of attacks) — Tiuliulin absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Tiuliulin targets the head (46% of attacks) — Dumas absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dumas
RND
Tiuliulin
0/0R00/0
Dumas · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jackson McVeySubmission
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L · Sub · R2
Donte JohnsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
Upcoming
Zach ReeseNoche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Denis TiuliulinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
Tiuliulin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sedriques DumasDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Christian Leroy DuncanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Sub · R1
JunYong ParkSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
W · KO · R2
Jamie PickettKO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09