UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
New York City, USA
4 Nov 2017
Welterweight
VS
54%
Brown
46%
Gall
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brown
This is a genuine toss-up — Brown at 54% vs Gall at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gall has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brown's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gall has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Brown
Gall
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
78"+
Reach
74"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Brown
Gall
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
45.1
48.7
Performance Avg
47.5
39
Quality of Victory
48
92
Momentum Score
56
Brown
Gall
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.8
50%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
1Clinch0
14Ground0
Brown
Gall
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
7.1
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brown
Gall
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
26
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
13/14 fights
Brown
Gall
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
92
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Brown
Gall
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
83%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
5
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Gall
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
7.1
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.0
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
8.3
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
BrownGall
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedGall
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (94% of attacks) — Gall absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Gall
0/0R00/0
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Gall · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Brown · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1Decision
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Gall · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ramiz BrahimajRating 3KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Mike MalottRating 3.3KO/TKO
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Alex MoronoRating 5.5Decision
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