METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
13 Nov 2021
Women's Featherweight
VS
67%
Spencer
33%
Letson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:25
★ Official Result
Felicia SpencerwinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:25
def. Leah Letson · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Spencer
→
Actual result
Spencer wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Spencer holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Letson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Spencer has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.
Spencer has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SpencerLetson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Spencer
Letson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
68"
Reach
+71"
35
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Spencer
Letson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.9
20.4
67.0
Performance Avg
35.0
78
Quality of Victory
25
85
Momentum Score
46
Spencer
Letson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
0.8
60%
Strike Accuracy
42%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
5
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance6
14Clinch0
12Ground0
Spencer
Letson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Spencer
Letson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
2/8 fights
Spencer
Letson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
46
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Spencer
Letson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Spencer
Letson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
SpencerLetson
Strike Zones
Spencer
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedLetson
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Spencer targets the head (86% of attacks) — Letson absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Letson targets the head (83% of attacks) — Spencer absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Spencer
RND
Letson
0/0R00/0
Spencer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Letson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Spencer · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Leah LetsonRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · KO · R1
Zarah FairnRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Cristiane JustinoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
Letson · Last 2
L · KO · R3
Felicia SpencerRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
W · Dec · R3
Julija StoliarenkoRating 4.8Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · 2018-11