UFC Fight Night 5
Las Vegas, USA
28 Jun 2006
Lightweight
VS
57%
Hominick
43%
Gurgel
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hominick
This is a genuine toss-up — Hominick at 57% vs Gurgel at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Hominick has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Hominick has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Hominick
Gurgel
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
+69"
43+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hominick
Gurgel
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
12.5
44.0
Performance Avg
32.1
45
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
45
Hominick
Gurgel
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
28%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
5
4
Body
0
0
Leg
13
RangeRange
14Distance18
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hominick
Gurgel
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hominick
Gurgel
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/24 fights
Hominick
Gurgel
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
45
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Hominick
Gurgel
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hominick
Gurgel
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
HominickGurgel
Strike Zones
Hominick
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedGurgel
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hominick targets the head (71% of attacks) — Gurgel absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Gurgel targets the legs (72% of attacks) — Hominick absorbs 72% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hominick
RND
Gurgel
0/0R00/0
Hominick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Gurgel · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Hominick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Pablo GarzaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Eddie YaginRating 5.5Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · Dec · R5
Jose AldoRating 6Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · KO · R1
George RoopRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01
Gurgel · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aaron RileyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 91: Couture vs Lesnar · 2008-11
L · Sub · R3
Cole MillerRating 4Submission
UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin · 2008-07
W · Dec · R3
John HalversonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
L · Dec · R3
Alvin RobinsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 77: Hostile Territory · 2007-10
W · Dec · R3
Diego SaraivaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07