METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Las Vegas, USA
10 Aug 2024
Featherweight
VS
42%
Jackson
58%
Mariscal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Chepe MariscalwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Damon Jackson · UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mariscal
→
Actual result
Mariscal wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jackson at 42% vs Mariscal at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mariscal has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jackson's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JacksonMariscal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jackson
Mariscal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
69"
37
Age
+33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Jackson
Mariscal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.5
56.9
43.0
Performance Avg
51.9
38
Quality of Victory
31
59
Momentum Score
80
Jackson
Mariscal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
55%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
17
4
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance4
5Clinch3
0Ground12
Jackson
Mariscal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jackson
Mariscal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
6/25 fights
Jackson
Mariscal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Jackson
Mariscal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jackson
Mariscal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
JacksonMariscal
Strike Zones
Jackson
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedMariscal
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the body (67% of attacks) — Mariscal absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Mariscal targets the head (89% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jackson
RND
Mariscal
0/0R00/0
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Mariscal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Jackson · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Dan IgeRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
Mariscal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Pat SabatiniRating 6.5Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ricardo RamosRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Morgan CharriereRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Jack JenkinsRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09