METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Las Vegas, USA
10 Aug 2024
Featherweight
VS
42%
Jackson
58%
Mariscal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Chepe MariscalwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Damon Jackson · UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mariscal
→
Actual result
Mariscal wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jackson at 42% vs Mariscal at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Jackson's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JacksonMariscal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jackson
Mariscal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
69"
38
Age
+33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Jackson
Mariscal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.5
56.9
43.0
Performance Avg
51.9
38
Quality of Victory
31
59
Momentum Score
80
Jackson
Mariscal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
3.9
5.0
Style: Volume
8.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
17
4
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance4
5Clinch3
0Ground12
Jackson
Mariscal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jackson
Mariscal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/31 fights
Chin rating based on
6/25 fights
Jackson
Mariscal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Jackson
Mariscal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jackson
Mariscal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
JacksonMariscal
Strike Zones
Jackson
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedMariscal
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the body (67% of attacks) — Mariscal absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Mariscal targets the head (89% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jackson
RND
Mariscal
0/0R00/0
Jackson · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerSubmission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Dan IgeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
Mariscal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Pat SabatiniDecision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ricardo RamosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Morgan CharriereDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Jack JenkinsKO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09