METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2014
Catch Weight
VS
85%
Moras
15%
Dufresne
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sarah MoraswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alexis Dufresne · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moras
→
Actual result
Moras wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Moras is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Moras has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Moras has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Moras's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MorasDufresne
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moras
Dufresne
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
67"
Reach
38
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moras
Dufresne
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
2.7
39.1
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
45
Momentum Score
0
Moras
Dufresne
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
0.3
35%
Strike Accuracy
22%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
1Clinch0
0Ground2
Moras
Dufresne
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moras
Dufresne
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/14 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Moras
Dufresne
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Moras
Dufresne
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moras
Dufresne
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MorasDufresne
Strike Zones
Moras
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedDufresne
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moras targets the head (75% of attacks) — Dufresne absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Dufresne targets the head (100% of attacks) — Moras absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moras
RND
Dufresne
0/0R00/0
Moras · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Dufresne · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Moras · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vanessa MeloRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · KO · R3
Liana JojuaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
L · KO · R2
Macy ChiassonRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy · 2019-05
L · Dec · R3
Talita BernardoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
Dufresne · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Marion ReneauRating 5.5Decision
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Sarah MorasRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07