METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2014
Catch Weight
VS
85%
Moras
15%
Dufresne
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sarah MoraswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alexis Dufresne · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moras
→
Actual result
Moras wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Moras is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Moras has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.
Risk flags
Moras's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MorasDufresne
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moras
Dufresne
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
67"
Reach
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moras
Dufresne
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
2.7
39.1
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
45
Momentum Score
0
Moras
Dufresne
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.7
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.3
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
1Clinch0
0Ground2
Moras
Dufresne
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moras
Dufresne
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/14 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Moras
Dufresne
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Moras
Dufresne
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moras
Dufresne
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MorasDufresne
Strike Zones
Moras
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedDufresne
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moras targets the head (75% of attacks) — Dufresne absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Dufresne targets the head (100% of attacks) — Moras absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moras
RND
Dufresne
0/0R00/0
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L · Dec · R3
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The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · 2014-07