★ Championship Bout · Flyweight
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Las Vegas, USA
7 Dec 2024
Flyweight
VS
91%
Pantoja
9%
Asakura
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:05
Alexandre
Alexandre Pantoja
"The Cannibal"
30 – 6
5'5"67" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 61
Kai
Kai Asakura
21 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide32 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 6

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Pantoja

Pantoja is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pantoja has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.

Pantoja has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Pantoja
Asakura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+69"
36
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pantoja
Asakura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.7
6.1
60.2
Performance Avg
0.0
49
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Pantoja
Asakura
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.4
49%
Strike Accuracy
27%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Pantoja
Asakura
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pantoja
Asakura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
76
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/36 fights
Chin rating based on
3/27 fights
Pantoja
Asakura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Pantoja
Asakura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
6
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pantoja
Asakura
Striking3.0 / 0.0Volume5.0 / 0.0Grappling4.5 / 0.0Wrestling3.1 / 0.0Submission4.3 / 0.0Pressure6.3 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Pantoja
Strike Zones
Asakura
Pantoja
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Asakura
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pantoja targets the head (100% of attacks) — Asakura absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Asakura targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pantoja absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pantoja
RND
Asakura
0/0R00/0

Pantoja · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.5W5.5L5.4W5.0W5.0W6.6L5.2W5.5L6.2W6.0W6.3W5.4W5.3W5.1W5.1W6.1W3.1L2017-012019-042021-082024-122025-12
WinLossTrend

Asakura · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.1
0103.4L2.8L2024-122025-08
WinLossTrend

Pantoja · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Joshua VanRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Kai Kara-FranceRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R5
Steve ErcegRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

Asakura · Last 3

Upcoming
Cameron Smotherman
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Sub · R2
Tim ElliottRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R2
Alexandre PantojaRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12

News & Media

Alexandre Pantoja · Kai Asakura
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