★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 36: Worlds Collide
Las Vegas, USA
22 Mar 2002
Welterweight
VS
91%
Hughes
9%
Sakurai
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 4 · 3:01
MH
Matt Hughes
45 – 9
5'9"73" reachSwitch52 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
HS
Hayato Sakurai
"Mach"
38 – 13
Well-Rounded50 yrsOrthodox5'7"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hughes

Hughes is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hughes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.

Risk flags

Hughes's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hughes
Sakurai
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
73"
Reach
52
Age
+50
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Hughes
Sakurai
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.0
2.2
64.6
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Hughes
Sakurai
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
—
56%
Strike Accuracy
—
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
13Ground0
Hughes
Sakurai
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hughes
Sakurai
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
78
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/54 fights
Chin rating based on
1/51 fights
Hughes
Sakurai
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R4
Hughes
Sakurai
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
61%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hughes
Sakurai
Striking4.8 / 0.0Volume3.7 / 0.0Grappling2.9 / 0.0Wrestling2.0 / 0.0Submission2.8 / 0.0Pressure6.4 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Hughes
Strike Zones
Sakurai
Hughes
Attacking
16HEAD0BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Sakurai
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD0BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hughes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sakurai absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hughes
RND
Sakurai
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Hughes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W4.0W1.5L5.1W5.4W5.4W4.0W4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.2W2.1L4.5W2.1L2.8L4.5W5.5W5.0W1.5L1.5L1999-092003-042006-052010-042011-09
WinLossTrend

Hughes · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Josh KoscheckRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
L · KO · R1
BJ PennRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
W · Sub · R1
Ricardo AlmeidaRating 5
Submission
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
W · KO · R3
Renzo GracieRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05

Sakurai · Last 1

L · KO · R4
Matt HughesRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC 36: Worlds Collide · 2002-03

News & Media

Matt Hughes · Hayato Sakurai
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