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UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
Las Vegas, USA
10 Feb 2024
Middleweight
VS
35%
Tavares
65%
Rodrigues
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 Β· 0:55
Brad
Brad Tavares
21 – 13
6'1"74" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 36
Gregory
Gregory Rodrigues
"Robocop"
19 – 6
Knockout Artist3-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'3"
CFR 67
β˜… Official Result
Gregory RodrigueswinsKO/TKOR3 Β· 0:55
def. Brad Tavares Β· UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodrigues
β†’
Actual result
Rodrigues wins
KO/TKO Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

Rodrigues holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings β€” but Tavares has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rodrigues has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 19 points.

Rodrigues has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tavares's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rodrigues has a chin rating of 54 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
TavaresRodrigues
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Tavares
Rodrigues
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+75"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tavares
Rodrigues
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
66.6
40.1
Performance Avg
59.3
29
Quality of Victory
48
49
Momentum Score
100
Tavares
Rodrigues
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.1
2.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
21
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance24
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Tavares
Rodrigues
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tavares
Rodrigues
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
29/34 fights
Chin rating based on
13/25 fights
Tavares
Rodrigues
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
49
100
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
3-fight πŸ”₯ win streak
Upcoming
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
W Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R4
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Tavares
Rodrigues
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
70%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
14
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tavares
Rodrigues
Striking2.4 / 8.5Volume8.1 / 3.9Grappling2.1 / 0.7Wrestling1.5 / 0.5Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure2.6 / 7.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
Tavares
Strike Zones
Rodrigues
Tavares
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD1BODY2LEGS24 absorbed
Rodrigues
Attacking
21HEAD1BODY2LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the head (80% of attacks) β€” Rodrigues absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Rodrigues targets the head (88% of attacks) β€” Tavares absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Tavares
RND
Rodrigues
0/0R00/0

Tavares Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L2.8L4.5W2.4L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W6.9L2.9L4.5W4.5W7.4L2.8L5.3W5.6L6.6L5.6W4.9L6.3L2010-062014-012017-102023-042026-03
WinLossTrend

Rodrigues Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.9W6.3W5.5L5.5W6.4W3.1L5.1W5.5W6.0W4.3L5.9W5.5W6.6W2021-062022-092024-072026-03
WinLossTrend

Tavares Β· Last 5

Upcoming
Marc-Andre Barriault
UFC Fight Night Β· 2026-07
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos Β· 2026-03
L Β· KO Β· R3
Robert BryczekRating 4.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho Β· 2025-09
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy Β· 2025-04
L Β· Dec Β· R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira Β· 2024-10

Rodrigues Β· Last 5

W Β· KO Β· R1
Brunno FerreiraRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 Β· 2026-03
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Roman KopylovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev Β· 2025-11
W Β· KO Β· R1
Jack HermanssonRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira Β· 2025-06
L Β· KO Β· R4
Jared CannonierRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues Β· 2025-02
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 Β· 2024-07

News & Media

Brad Tavares Β· Gregory Rodrigues
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