METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
Las Vegas, USA
10 Feb 2024
Middleweight
VS
35%
Tavares
65%
Rodrigues
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:55
★ Official Result
Gregory RodrigueswinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:55
def. Brad Tavares · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodrigues
→
Actual result
Rodrigues wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Rodrigues holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Tavares has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rodrigues has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Tavares's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rodrigues has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TavaresRodrigues
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tavares
Rodrigues
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+75"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tavares
Rodrigues
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
65.6
40.1
Performance Avg
58.7
29
Quality of Victory
46
49
Momentum Score
100
Tavares
Rodrigues
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
7.9
/ 10
2.6
Style: Pressure
6.8
8.1
Style: Volume
4.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
21
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance24
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Tavares
Rodrigues
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tavares
Rodrigues
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/34 fights
Chin rating based on
14/25 fights
Tavares
Rodrigues
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R4
Tavares
Rodrigues
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
64%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
14
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tavares
Rodrigues
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
TavaresRodrigues
Strike Zones
Tavares
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedRodrigues
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the head (80% of attacks) — Rodrigues absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Rodrigues targets the head (88% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tavares
RND
Rodrigues
0/0R00/0
Tavares · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
Robert BryczekKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · KO · R3
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
Rodrigues · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Anthony HernandezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraKO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovDecision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Jack HermanssonKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · KO · R4
Jared CannonierKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02