UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
Las Vegas, USA
10 Feb 2024
Middleweight
VS
35%
Tavares
65%
Rodrigues
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:55
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rodrigues
Rodrigues holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Tavares has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rodrigues has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Rodrigues has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tavares's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rodrigues has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tavares
Rodrigues
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+75"
38
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tavares
Rodrigues
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
66.6
40.1
Performance Avg
59.3
29
Quality of Victory
48
49
Momentum Score
100
Tavares
Rodrigues
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
21
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance24
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Tavares
Rodrigues
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tavares
Rodrigues
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/34 fights
Chin rating based on
13/25 fights
Tavares
Rodrigues
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Tavares
Rodrigues
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
70%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
14
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tavares
Rodrigues
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
TavaresRodrigues
Strike Zones
Tavares
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedRodrigues
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tavares targets the head (80% of attacks) — Rodrigues absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Rodrigues targets the head (88% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tavares
RND
Rodrigues
0/0R00/0
Tavares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Rodrigues · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Tavares · Last 5
Upcoming
Marc-Andre BarriaultUFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
Robert BryczekRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
Rodrigues · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Jack HermanssonRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · KO · R4
Jared CannonierRating 4.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 6Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07