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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
17 Oct 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
47%
Cerminara
53%
Andrade
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 Β· 4:55
Katlyn
Katlyn Cerminara
"Blonde Fighter"
18 – 6
5'9"68" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Jessica
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
26 – 15
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox62" reach5'1"
CFR 51
β˜… Official Result
Jessica AndradewinsKO/TKOR1 Β· 4:55
def. Katlyn Cerminara Β· UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Andrade
β†’
Actual result
Andrade wins
KO/TKO Β· R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Cerminara at 47% vs Andrade at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 20 points.

Risk flags

Cerminara's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Andrade has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
CerminaraAndrade
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Cerminara
Andrade
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'1"
68"+
Reach
62"
37
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerminara
Andrade
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.8
51.0
40.9
Performance Avg
49.4
25
Quality of Victory
45
85
Momentum Score
79
Cerminara
Andrade
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
4.7
/ 10
1.9
Style: Pressure
5.4
9.3
Style: Volume
4.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
11
12
Body
11
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
10Distance14
9Clinch8
0Ground6
Cerminara
Andrade
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cerminara
Andrade
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
18/24 fights
Chin rating based on
30/41 fights
Cerminara
Andrade
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
85
79
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Upcoming
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R2
Cerminara
Andrade
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
53%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
3
11
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerminara
Andrade
Striking1.3 / 4.7Volume9.3 / 4.9Grappling2.4 / 2.5Wrestling1.7 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 1.8Pressure1.9 / 5.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Cerminara
Strike Zones
Andrade
Cerminara
Attacking
7HEAD12BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD11BODY6LEGS28 absorbed
Andrade
Attacking
11HEAD11BODY6LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD12BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cerminara targets the body (63% of attacks) β€” Andrade absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Andrade targets the head (39% of attacks) β€” Cerminara absorbs 39% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Cerminara
RND
Andrade
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cerminara Β· Last 5

Upcoming
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Andrade Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Loopy Godinez
Decision
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Submission
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Decision
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Decision
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KO/TKO
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News & Media

Katlyn Cerminara Β· Jessica Andrade
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