UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
17 Oct 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
45%
Cerminara
55%
Andrade
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:55
Katlyn
Katlyn Cerminara
"Blonde Fighter"
18 – 6
5'9"68" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Jessica
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
26 – 15
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox62" reach5'1"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Andrade

This is a genuine toss-up — Cerminara at 45% vs Andrade at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cerminara's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Andrade has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cerminara
Andrade
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'1"
68"+
Reach
62"
37
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerminara
Andrade
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
51.0
40.9
Performance Avg
49.4
25
Quality of Victory
45
85
Momentum Score
79
Cerminara
Andrade
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
3.1
35%
Strike Accuracy
52%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
11
12
Body
11
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
10Distance14
9Clinch8
0Ground6
Cerminara
Andrade
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerminara
Andrade
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/24 fights
Chin rating based on
30/41 fights
Cerminara
Andrade
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Cerminara
Andrade
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
53%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
3
11
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerminara
Andrade
Striking1.3 / 4.7Volume9.3 / 4.9Grappling2.4 / 2.5Wrestling1.7 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 1.8Pressure1.9 / 5.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Cerminara
Strike Zones
Andrade
Cerminara
Attacking
7HEAD12BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD11BODY6LEGS28 absorbed
Andrade
Attacking
11HEAD11BODY6LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD12BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cerminara targets the body (63% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Andrade targets the head (39% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 39% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cerminara
RND
Andrade
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cerminara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.3W5.5L5.3W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.7W4.5W4.1L4.5W2.3L4.5W5.2W4.5W4.6W7.1L6.5L2016-072018-122020-102022-102024-03
WinLossTrend

Andrade · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.8L4.5W5.1W5.0W1.5L4.5W3.3L5.3W5.2W4.6W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W6.5W3.3L6.9L5.3W3.5L5.0W6.1W5.3W3.6L2.5L4.6L6.5W5.2W7.0L2.4L6.0L2013-072016-092020-072023-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Cerminara · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Manon FiorotRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05

Andrade · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4
Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

News & Media

Katlyn Cerminara · Jessica Andrade
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