METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
17 Oct 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
45%
Cerminara
55%
Andrade
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:55
★ Official Result
Jessica AndradewinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:55
def. Katlyn Cerminara · UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Andrade
→
Actual result
Andrade wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cerminara at 45% vs Andrade at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Cerminara's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Andrade has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CerminaraAndrade
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cerminara
Andrade
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'1"
68"+
Reach
62"
37
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerminara
Andrade
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
51.0
40.9
Performance Avg
49.4
25
Quality of Victory
45
85
Momentum Score
79
Cerminara
Andrade
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
3.1
35%
Strike Accuracy
52%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
11
12
Body
11
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
10Distance14
9Clinch8
0Ground6
Cerminara
Andrade
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerminara
Andrade
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/24 fights
Chin rating based on
30/41 fights
Cerminara
Andrade
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Cerminara
Andrade
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
53%
0
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
3
11
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cerminara
Andrade
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
CerminaraAndrade
Strike Zones
Cerminara
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedAndrade
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cerminara targets the body (63% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Andrade targets the head (39% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 39% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cerminara
RND
Andrade
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cerminara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Andrade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Cerminara · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Manon FiorotRating 7.1Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
Andrade · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5KO/TKO
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