METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
Buffalo, USA
8 Apr 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
22%
Cummins
78%
Blachowicz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Patrick CumminswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jan Blachowicz · UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Blachowicz
→
Actual result
Cummins wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Blachowicz is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Blachowicz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Cummins's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Blachowicz has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CumminsBlachowicz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cummins
Blachowicz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
76"
Reach
+78"
45
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cummins
Blachowicz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
44.0
39.0
Performance Avg
51.8
34
Quality of Victory
48
45
Momentum Score
20
Cummins
Blachowicz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
3.7
Style: Pressure
5.8
6.3
Style: Volume
4.5
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
34
Head
6
2
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance7
11Clinch0
17Ground2
Cummins
Blachowicz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cummins
Blachowicz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/17 fights
Chin rating based on
23/40 fights
Cummins
Blachowicz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Cummins
Blachowicz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
58%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cummins
Blachowicz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
CumminsBlachowicz
Strike Zones
Cummins
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedBlachowicz
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cummins targets the head (94% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Blachowicz targets the head (67% of attacks) — Cummins absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cummins
RND
Blachowicz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cummins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ed HermanKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Misha CirkunovSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteDecision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczDecision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
Blachowicz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Navajo StirlingKO/TKO
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Upcoming
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L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergDecision
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L · Dec · R3
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Magomed AnkalaevDecision
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