UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia
Kallang, Singapore
17 Jun 2017
Flyweight
VS
86%
Inoue
14%
Tomas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
NI
Naoki Inoue
11 – 1
5'9"71" reachOrthodox28 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
CJ
Carls John De Tomas
6 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight slide29 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'5"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Inoue

Inoue is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Inoue has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Striking split: Inoue throws more volume but Tomas connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Inoue
Tomas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'5"
71"
Reach
71"
28+
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Inoue
Tomas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.2
2.4
35.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
55
Momentum Score
0
Inoue
Tomas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.4
40%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
8
0
Body
0
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance4
1Clinch4
7Ground2
Inoue
Tomas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Inoue
Tomas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/12 fights
Chin rating based on
2/8 fights
Inoue
Tomas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Inoue
Tomas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Inoue
Tomas
Striking1.0 / 0.0Volume9.0 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Inoue
Strike Zones
Tomas
Inoue
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY3LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Tomas
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY2LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY3LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Inoue targets the head (80% of attacks) — Tomas absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Tomas targets the head (80% of attacks) — Inoue absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Inoue
RND
Tomas
0/0R00/0

Inoue · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.7L2017-062018-06
WinLossTrend

Tomas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L4.0L2017-062017-12
WinLossTrend

Inoue · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Matt SchnellRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
W · Dec · R3
Carls John De TomasRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06

Tomas · Last 2

L · Sub · R2
Alex PerezRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Dec · R3
Naoki InoueRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06

News & Media

Naoki Inoue · Carls John De Tomas
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