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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
Las Vegas, USA
25 Sept 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
33%
Modafferi
67%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RM
Roxanne Modafferi
"The Happy Warrior"
25 – 21
5'7"69" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
TS
Taila Santos
19 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 39
★ Official Result
Taila SantoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Roxanne Modafferi · UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Santos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Santos holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Modafferi has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ModafferiSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Modafferi
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
68"
43
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Modafferi
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
38.9
34.7
Performance Avg
42.2
36
Quality of Victory
32
15
Momentum Score
81
Modafferi
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.4
31%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
22
1
Body
1
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
8Distance24
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Modafferi
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Modafferi
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/46 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Modafferi
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
81
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Modafferi
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Modafferi
Santos
Striking3.2 / 1.1Volume6.7 / 7.1Grappling1.8 / 3.8Wrestling1.3 / 2.7Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure2.8 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Modafferi
Strike Zones
Santos
Modafferi
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD1BODY5LEGS28 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
22HEAD1BODY5LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Modafferi targets the head (75% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (79% of attacks) — Modafferi absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Modafferi
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Modafferi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.1L5.5L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5W6.3L4.9W6.2L5.7L6.7L2013-112018-112020-012021-012022-02
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.5L5.2W5.7W4.5W5.2W6.9L7.0L2019-022020-122021-112023-08
WinLossTrend

Modafferi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Taila SantosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06

Santos · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R1
Joanne WoodRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · Dec · R3
Roxanne ModafferiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12

News & Media

Roxanne Modafferi · Taila Santos
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