METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
Las Vegas, USA
25 Sept 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
33%
Modafferi
67%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RM
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Taila SantoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Roxanne Modafferi · UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Santos
→
Actual result
Santos wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Santos holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Modafferi has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ModafferiSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Modafferi
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
68"
43
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Modafferi
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
38.9
34.7
Performance Avg
42.2
36
Quality of Victory
32
15
Momentum Score
81
Modafferi
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
2.8
Style: Pressure
3.5
6.7
Style: Volume
7.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
22
1
Body
1
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
8Distance24
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Modafferi
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Modafferi
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/46 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Modafferi
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
81
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Modafferi
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Modafferi
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
ModafferiSantos
Strike Zones
Modafferi
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedSantos
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Modafferi targets the head (75% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (79% of attacks) — Modafferi absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Modafferi
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Modafferi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillDecision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Taila SantosDecision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
Santos · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Erin BlanchfieldDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoDecision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R1
Joanne WoodSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · Dec · R3
Roxanne ModafferiDecision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12